PickLogic.com Offical Blog (PickBlogic)

After a Solid Month of March, We Look to Baseball

2010-04-11T00:06:00.000-07:00

Well, when you have as bad a month as we did in February, it's very easy to talk about turning the ship around; all that really counts are results.

And March was all about results: we really had a great month, going 15-5, and recovering nearly 8% of our losses from our low point on March 2nd (we actually went 15-3 from March 3 until the end of the month).

Now basketball is coming to an end (we'll probably just pick another game or two in the upcoming week), and then we'll move right into baseball. The transition from basketball to baseball is seamless, since the two seasons overlap nicely - the Major League Baseball season will have had about two weeks to gather stats before we start picking games.

For our newer clients who haven't been with us during baseball season, it's certainly a different beast: instead of picking over/unders (as we do for the NBA), PickLogic selects winners in baseball, and the "odds" aren't always at -110 - in fact, they rarely are. We'll usually take games anywhere from -150 all the way to +120, but the method remains the same: PickLogic will tell you what to RISK (not what to win), and the odds will only have an effect on the net profits.

Once the season starts, we'll make another blog post that outlines some of methods that PickLogic uses to generate baseball selections.

Thanks, as usual, for your support - we look forward to a profitable baseball season!

It's Been a Struggle...

2010-03-03T18:21:00.000-08:00

It HAS been a struggle...and really, that's an understatement.

We followed a beautiful first half of the NBA season (including 8 wins in a row, and 11 of 12 at one point during January) with an absolutely disastrous February: PickLogic won the first two in February, and then proceeded to lose 6 straight, followed by a win, and then 5 more in a row - basically mirroring the prosperous 11 of 12 we saw in January.

Now...we suppose this latest streak isn't THAT surprising. The system has been VERY streaky this year, and it's been designed to specifically NOT be streaky. Rarely do we have an 11-of-12 positive streak...so perhaps it goes to reason that we'd have a similar negative run.

At any rate, you might be surprised to know that we've lost very few members over the last month. Honestly, WE'RE surprised - even though many of our members understand that one month doesn't make or break a long-term investment, we usually see more members drop off during losing periods (and, conversely, more come on during the bountiful stretches).

We tell you this mainly to thank you for your continued membership. WE'RE sticking with PickLogic as individual investors, and still thoroughly expect 2010 to be a positive one - better, still than most other potential investment options.

Let's hope that we're through the rough times. We'll continue to make sure PickLogic generates solid picks moving forward...and if nothing else, this stretch should serve as a reminder that a loss here and there isn't a bad thing: a few wins here, a few losses there...as long as we don't have long streaks either way, that's what the system is supposed to do.

Thanks again for your support.

Obviously, 6-Game Losing Streaks Aren't Pretty

2010-02-17T22:53:00.000-08:00

Well, it happened.

When all is said and done, PickLogic is designed to do one thing: avoid long losing streaks. Particularly those of the 6-game variety.

There's not too much use in analyzing what led to the streak (we started with two very close losses, by 1/2 point and 3 points, respectively, before four games that weren't all that close). The system picked an "over" trend that clearly didn't do its job.

We sincerely apologize to all of our members. Not that it makes your immediate losses easier to swallow, but please know that some of the largest accounts following PickLogic are held by our employees - we're feeling your pain as well.

However, you also need to know that this is a journey, a marathon. It's not about one-week or one-month gains. It's about steady gains over a long period of time. And even with what amounts to a nearly 20% setback, PickLogic is still up 28% since November of 2009.

While it's almost certainly true that we've all lost money in the short-term, we need to take a long-term view of things. What we've really lost here is the amount of time it'll take to make up the 20% lost - for example, from our high point of 47.2% on February 3rd, we were at 27.2% on August 20th of 2009 - basically, six months ago.

So we've lost six months. Not good - at all - but also not the end of the world. We were up 30% for the 2009 calendar year, and we certainly expect to turn a profit for the 2010 year. It won't be in the 35% range now, but we can still get to 15% or 20%, and consider 2010 a VERY successful year. Six months from now (in mid-August) we should be back up 10% for the year, as we were two weeks ago.

Based on all the comments you've sent in over the last few hours, it's heartening to know that the majority of you see the big picture. We also understand the few negative comments we've received, and again: we apologize for our performance, and we share your frustration. But PickLogic has worked too well for too long to jump ship at the first sign of trouble; we know that we'll still have a very productive year using a very proven system.

As far as what happens now: we will NOT be making a 7th-level pick in an attempt to recoup our losses. We'll take the short-term loss and start from a base-level, and move forward. While there's no pick for Thursday, we'll probably have a selection Friday or Saturday (for a rather low amount).

Thanks again for your support, and feel free to chime in with comments, both good and bad.

PickLogic

11 out of 12 isn't bad...

2010-01-25T21:37:00.001-08:00

You may have noticed that we don't usually make a big deal out of our winning streaks - it's true that we generally have more winners than losers, but PickLogic isn't about long winning streaks.

It's about avoiding long losing streaks.

That's it. That's the whole focus of PickLogic (well, that, combined with appropriate, intelligent, disciplined money management). The PickLogic system is built around avoiding lengthy losing streaks, and it does an excellent job at it (if we say so ourselves...and the results certainly seem to make that point quite clearly).

Really, PickLogic just needs to win about half its games to turn a very tidy profit month after month, year after year. To illustrate the point, PickLogic had exactly 90 wins and 90 losses in the 2009 calendar year, and made just over 30%.

PickLogic then lost its first game of 2010...and has only lost once since, over the course of the last 12 selections. An 11-1 streak makes the "up" meter go up much more quickly...but we know our results won't always be quite this good - hence the relatively low-key "celebration" from our side.

As mentioned, PickLogic actually doesn't pick each game thinking it's going to necessarily win that game.

After each win, the system "resets", and the next pick is made on a trend - not on a particular game. For example: After tonight's win, PickLogic will find another trend (say, an "Under" trend) that it likes, and make a pick for the first game that qualifies for that trend. What the system is saying, in effect, is "It's quite possible that this next game won't win, but this specific trend won't lose 5 or 6 times in a row."

The resulting wager amount reflects the system's confidence in that statement.

Hopefully that gives you a little more insight into some of the game theory behind PickLogic's selections. But it's true - the system is very, very "hot" right now (including a last-second cover of the "OVER" in tonight's game). There are often multiple games that qualify each day, and PickLogic only selects the best one...but the fact is, MOST of the selections are winning right now.

We'll try to post more over the coming days when there ARE a number of qualifying selections; Tuesday, January 26th only has one game (and it's the official PickLogic selection):

- Phoenix vs. Charlotte, UNDER 210

At any rate, it's been a good run. Don't expect it to last forever! (We don't.)

But feel free to chime in with comments or questions...we're always listening.

PickLogic.com

Closing Out 2009 - 30% Up for the Year

2010-01-01T23:57:00.000-08:00

Goals are funny things; the power of setting goals, writing them down, and declaring them to the world is rather amazing. PickLogic highly encourages its members to write down their own goals as 2010 begins. Look at them regularly, and you'll be amazed at how they can affect your reality.

Take PickLogic, for example. At the beginning of 2009, we distinctly set a goal of a +30% year. It wasn't conservative or agressive; we felt it was something we should be able to hit given our past performance, but it would require our normal due diligence, discipline and focus.

So what happens? Come last December (the 22nd, to be exact), we're cruising right along, well above our 30% goal, right around +34% for the year. And then we have three losses in a row to finish the year...and the 4% loss gives us a 30.04% increase for 2009.

If you had a $10,000 account, your profit was $3,004 for the year: that's about as close as you can get to 30% on the year.

So this year, we're going to put a new goal out there: PickLogic accounts will gain 35% in 2010. This isn't a prediction, it's our goal. We expect to hit it, we'll post it around our offices, and our intention will make it a reality.

(We'll also set a goal of trying to make more blog posts this year!)

Once again, thanks for being a PickLogic member; here's to a great 2010 for us all!

PickLogic's NBA Season (So Far)

2009-12-20T19:27:00.000-08:00

It seems like the NBA season has just started, but we're already nearly two full months into it. PickLogic's performance over the past 50 days has been pretty much what we expected: a 15-11 win-loss record, and - more importantly - a 6.98% positive increase.

But PickLogic's true effectiveness is always measured in the same way: by how well we avoid long losing streaks. (If you haven't noticed by now, the whole system is based on that specific element. Avoid long losing streaks, and the value of our clients' portfolios continues to move ahead steadily.)

How have we done through the first part of the NBA season? Two 3-game losing streaks, one 2-game losing streak...and that's it. (And we've thrown in two 5-game winning streaks, for good measure.)

(So...in other words...pretty good. Hence the nearly 7% gain in less than two months. And our 2009 goal was to be over 30%, and - at +33.4% so far and just 10 days to go - that looks like a safe bet as well!)

Accordingly, we want to thank you all for your continued patronage; especially our new members (PickLogic.com has gained more new members in the past two months than we had in the first 10 months of the year combined). Please don't hesitate to let us know what you like (or don't like) about PickLogic, and how/if we can improve it in any way. You might be surprised to see how quickly you get a response if you send it to support@picklogic.com; at least one of our Customer Service representatives is nearly always on call.

We'll wrap this post by giving you all of the picks that "qualify" for Monday's games; note that - as usual - only one made the grade as the official selection. (And that we expect to go 3-1 or 2-2 with these selections.)

Monday's Qualifying Picks:

- Milwaukee/Indiana, UNDER the total of 202.5
- Utah/Orlando, UNDER the total of 204
- Sacramento/Chicago, UNDER the total of 200.5
- LA Clippers/San Antonio, OVER the total of 193 (*this is the pick*)

Thanks again, and have a great holiday season and a happy new year.

Nice Start to the 2009-10 PickLogic Basketball Season

2009-11-17T21:17:00.000-08:00

This has been a very good month of November for PickLogic so far: for starters, PickLogic has seen record numbers in both paid subscribers and interested users going through their free trial. (PickLogic is up nearly 30% for the year; even the skeptics have to admit that it just works!)

After a baseball season that saw a nearly 19% increase in our clients' portfolios, we're quite pleased to have rewarded everyone's continued faith with a very nice start to the 2009-2010 basketball campaign.

Tonight, we won our 5th game in a row to put our early-season record at 6-3, returning a healthy 2.99% gain in the half-completed calendar month.

PickLogic generally shoots for a 2-4% gain each month, so we're right on target. Though we don't expect to win 5 in a row very often, just as we don't expect to lose 5 in a row - the PickLogic system is built specifically to avoid long streaks (though we've certainly seen longer winning streaks than losing streaks).

But as long as we can continue to avoid long periods of losing, we won't complain (and hopefully, you won't either).

As a parting note, PickLogic is about to make a pick for Wednesday, and we thought we'd show you the four selections that "qualified" for a pick (as we do from time to time)...of course, only one made the grade as the pick for the day:

- New York at Indiana, UNDER the total of 215
- LA Clippers at Memphis, UNDER the total of 200
- Houston at Minnesota, UNDER the total of 200
- Detroit at Portland, OVER the total of 178 (this is the pick!)

Typically, PickLogic will go 2-2 or 3-1 when we have four selections; it's doubtful that we'll go 0-4 or 4-0, or even 1-3. Feel free to play along at home!

Thanks again for making November such a great month for PickLogic; we'll do our best to continue to reward your loyalty!

PickLogic.com

PickLogic.com - Baseball Wrap-up, Plan for October

2009-10-04T23:18:00.001-07:00

The regular season of baseball ended today (October 4), leaving us a little more than three weeks until the NBA season starts on October 27.

Just so you know what to expect, PickLogic will NOT be making selections on baseball playoff games throughout the month of October.

We'll still go ahead and send "no pick" e-mails every night until our first NBA pick (which will probably come during the first few days of November, when there's a little data to work off of for the NBA games).

So this means that we'll finish October with a 1-0 record - our first undefeated month ever! :-)

What does this mean for you? If you're an existing client, just reply to this note, and we'll add an extra month onto your subscription. If you're a trial member, you can also reply, and we'll tack another month onto your trial membership, so you'll still get the benefit of watching how PickLogic works.

*Special Facebook Offer*: We've recently created the PickLogic Facebook page. If you become a fan, we'll automatically add 5 days onto your subscription. And you'll also qualify for a special offer: sign up for 6 months, and we'll give you two months for free! Click here to visit PickLogic's Facebook page!

Final Baseball Results: PickLogic finished up nearly 16% for the baseball season (going 45-45 - exactly .500 - on its selections), and is now up 26.5% for the calendar year. After a slow but steady start, August and September were both excellent months.

Once again, we'd like to thank you for your patronage -- we value you as a PickLogic member, and want to do everything we can to keep you happy (although we assume that the positive monthly results are the primary factor in your happiness level).

We thank you all for your patience and loyalty, and we look forward to a very profitable basketball season.

Don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions or comments.

The PickLogic Team

Three Excellent Picks for Friday

2009-09-03T22:40:00.000-07:00

After a record August, we've had a nice start to September, already up .75% after nice win Thursday night. That puts our total since November 2008 at just a shade under +30%, with a 22.2% gain for the 2009 calendar year.

But we thought we'd post a quick note regarding Friday's selection, as there were actually three excellent picks that made the grade. Of course, we only take one (at the most) on any given day, but here were the three that qualified:

- San Francisco (-110) at Milwaukee
- Minnesota (-110) at Cleveland
- Seattle (-110) at Oakland

All top-quality games...but only one qualifies as the PickLogic selection for Friday: San Francisco is the pick!

As usual, don't hesitate to contact support@picklogic.com with comments or questions.

Record month for PickLogic: Up 8.5%

2009-08-31T23:23:00.000-07:00

The recently-completed calendar month of August was a record one for PickLogic: our clients' portfolios were up 8.52%!

Why so high, you might ask? All we did was go 9-5 for the month: nothing too heroic there. The reason comes down to the way we report our stats - sure, we had a good month, but not THAT good.

These kinds of months are possible when a losing streak bridges a calendar month. July was actually looking pretty good, up about 2% going into the last few days of the month...and then we had a 3-game losing streak, bringing the official total for July to -2.95% - our first losing month!

The ensuing win with the first selection of August immediately brought August's total to +5.18%, and then we added another 3.5% through the rest of the month.

So yes, it's high...but if we're going to take a losing month in July, we get to report a huge month in August.

At any rate, we're now up nearly 11% for baseball season, well within our 13-15% target for the season with a typical September ahead.

Thanks for following PickLogic, and don't hesitate to contact support@picklogic.com with any questions!

Almost 20% up for 2009

2009-08-18T22:11:00.000-07:00

It's been quite awhile since our last blog post, and for that, we apologize. But those of you have been diligently following PickLogic since the beginning of the year have been rewarded handsomely: the win on Tuesday night puts PickLogic clients up 19.8% since the beginning of the calendar year.

Perhaps most impressive (or least impressive, depending on how you look at it) is the fact that we've had these results even with a sub-.500 record: we're 60-68 through August 18.

Of course, we get questioned on this all the time: how is it possible to have a portfolio that's up 20% when we're picking games at a 45% clip (especially given the "vig" or "juice" each transaction requires)?

Answer 1: Avoid long losing streaks. PickLogic's ONLY goal, when it comes down to it, is to avoid lengthy losing streaks.

Answer 2: Intelligent money management. Relying on the fact that the PickLogic method of decision-making avoids long losing streaks, the money-management system means that nearly every win (whether or not it's been preceded by a loss or not) results in a net positive outcome. (i.e., a 1-0 record produces a positive outcome, and a 1-2 record produces a similar positive outcome.)

With about 45 days remaining in the Major League Baseball season, we expect to wrap up September in the +25% range for the calendar year (and about 13-15% for the baseball season alone, following an 18% gain for the 2008-2009 basketball season).

Thanks for your continued support...and feel free to tell your friends about PickLogic!

Two Weeks into PickLogic's Baseball Season...

2009-05-01T01:27:00.000-07:00

Well, we're two weeks into the season, and PickLogic selections are 4-5 so far, for a meager positive return of just under .7% - which actually isn't that bad, considering that 3 of those losses came in a 3-game losing streak (which always temporarily slows the rate at which PickLogic accounts move forward).

Remember that we don't necessarily expect to make selections at a rate too much above 50% for the season (it should settle in the 53-58% range when all is said and done), but we DO expect to generally avoid losing streaks...and when we do, we expect to gain anywhere from 2-6% each month.

If you're new to PickLogic, we'd love to hear what you think about the way baseball picks are made, and if you have any questions.

For Friday's selection, there were actually four games that were nearly even in our selection process; we had to dig deep into the stats to come up with the eventual pick...and we figured we'd pass them all on to you, as we do occasionally:

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets, -118 (this is the pick)
San Francisco vs. Colorado, -115
Boston at Tampa Bay, -127
Seattle vs. Oakland, -112

We'll have a follow-up post after the games to see how the selections did (we predict: 3-1).

PickLogic Wraps Up a Successful Basketball Season

2009-04-08T22:34:00.000-07:00

As the NBA season comes to a close, we figured it was time to reflect on the last 6 months, and to let you know the plan for the next few weeks.

NBA Recap:
The basketball season runs from November to mid-April, and PickLogic's performance was certainly about what we expected: positive results in every calendar month, with only a few losing streaks peppered in.

November: 6-6 record, +2.75%
December: 10-6 record, +4.94%
January: 7-10 record, +3.05%
February: 11-5 record, +6.57% (a record month for PickLogic)
March: 8-10 record, +0.80%
April: 2-3 record, +1.16% (so far)

That's a total of +19.2% for the NBA season, well above our already-lofty 10-15% expectations. And we're up 11.6% for the 2009 calendar year, which is certainly impressive in these less-than-certain economic times.

Note that for the entire NBA season, we only had one losing streak of more than 3 games (it happened recently, and was a 5-game streak). We had just five 3-game losing streaks, and the rest was smooth sailing - again, this is very typical. We expect to have one or two losing streaks during a sport season; weathering them and moving on is a staple of investing using PickLogic.

Well...enough reflecting on the past...it's time to look forward!

The Plan for the Next Few Weeks:
The last regular-season basketball game happens next week (on or around April 14); PickLogic will continue to make basketball selections right up to the end of the regular season (roughly 3-5 more NBA picks).

This will give the just-started baseball (MLB) season a chance to accrue some statistics for PickLogic to crunch, and we'll likely make our first baseball pick on or around April 18 (10 days from now).

We know we have quite a few clients that (for whatever reason) like to raise their account levels during baseball; consider this your 10-day advance notice!

Thanks, as always, for all of your positive comments. We love hearing about how PickLogic works for you; feel free to drop us a note at support@picklogic.com if you have any stories to share, or any questions about how things work around here.

We'll post another blog entry as we make the official switch from basketball to baseball.

The 5-game Losing Streak is Over...Consider it a Lesson!

2009-03-22T20:25:00.001-07:00

We'll start by acknowledging that the PickLogic system -- which has been SO good for such a long time -- has clearly gone into a little valley (after hitting so many peaks). Going into Sunday night's game, it had lost 8 out of 9 (3 straight, then a win, then 5 consecutive losses).

Well, PickLogic was victorious Sunday evening (as the Philadelphia-Sacramento game went OVER the total). And we're certainly not going to gloat about our win-loss record in March (now sitting at 4-8), but we'd be remiss if we didn't point out that, despite our lackluster record, PickLogic clients are only down a miniscule 1.5% for the calendar month.

And PickLogic is still up over 8% for 2009...which, of course, is about as solid an investment as you can make in today's markets.

It's easy for our critics to point out some of the negatives of PickLogic - we understand them as well, so we'll go ahead and point them out ourselves. We don't pull any punches here: the way that PickLogic "works" either fits you, or it doesn't.

- "You have to make such high bets as the losses mount."

Well, it's true that the bets get higher as a losing streak goes. But our history shows that:

a) We generally avoid long losing streaks (and we keep the higher bets to a minimum).
b) Even on a very high bet (like on this one, following a five-game losing streak), it's still less than 20% of our clients' portfolios.

- "It's just a Martingale system." (Martingale systems double up after each loss.)

While there are similarities, our bets don't double after each loss. And our wagers change depending on the confidence the system has in the particular selection. But more importantly, Martingale systems don't rely on specific trends to avoid losing streaks.

PickLogic does this quite well, as it has shown repeatedly, with a very customized system. If you noticed in this most recent streak, PickLogic stuck to OVER selections - we'll do the same (in most cases), and the results will be the same. We will ALWAYS avoid 6-game losing streaks.

We get it: people either agree with this methodology, or they don't. These are the facts, and if you choose to invest using other options, we completely understand. But our results speak for themselves, and we believe they will continue to do so. Are you prepared to miss out on a 20-30% 2009 return? It's certainly up to you.

(If we haven't told you before, ALL PickLogic employees use the system with their own money - so we're going through the same processes that you are.)

Please don't hesitate, as usual, to contact us at support@picklogic.com with any questions.

Three Game Losing Streak = Good Example of How Things Work

2009-03-13T21:04:00.000-07:00

So we just finished a three-game losing streak (concluding with a win in Friday night's game - the UNDER in the NY-Minn contest). This serves as a very good example of how things work at PickLogic.

(For many subscribers it was their first taste of any type of losing streak; we hadn't lost even twice in a row in six weeks.)

Remember: the real power of PickLogic is that it manages our clients' risk. The ONLY goal is to avoid long losing streaks, and then manage money accordingly.

If we have to experience a losing streak, we'll quite comfortably accept a net loss as long as we live to see another day (which basically means, as long as we avoid a 6 or 7-game losing streak). In this case, PickLogic went 1-3 over the last 4 games, and ended up being down .56% (just over 1/2 of a percent)...and that's more than acceptable, as we're still UP 1/2 of a percent for the calendar month. And now we can get back to our primary business of avoiding losing streaks, and hopefully still get into the +2-4% range for the month.

As we indicated before...this won't be the last losing streak we encounter. It's likely that, at some point over the next few months, we'll see a 4 or 5 game losing streak. The key is to continue to follow PickLogic's recommendations, and you'll see your account grow; our results show exactly how this works over the long run.

A Sampling of the PickLogic Picks for Sunday

2009-03-07T20:54:00.000-08:00

Just figured we'd make a quick post...see if we can't jinx ourselves. The PickLogic selections are certainly doing quite well lately, having won 4 in a row, 7 of 8, and 13 of 17.

As a direct result, our clients are already up 10.6% in 2009 so far - quite possibly the best investment return you can find anywhere these days. Our 18.3% mark for the NBA season is also very solid.

At any rate, after just two picks through the first week of March (both winners), there are a number of games that qualify for Sunday, March 8. With the vast majority of all selections coming out accurately lately, we decided to "spread the wealth" just a bit (and let's see if that completely invalidates our recent run of success!).

With that said...here are the games that qualified for Sunday:

-- Utah at Toronto, UNDER 208.5 (this is the actual pick)
-- Phoenix at San Antonio, OVER 219.5
-- New York at New Jersey, UNDER 220
-- Denver at Sacramento, UNDER 212

We'll check back Sunday evening to see how we did (but as long as we win the first one, we'll be happy).

Record Month for February for PickLogic

2009-02-28T23:09:00.000-08:00

One of the very nice things about following PickLogic as part of your investment portfolio is its consistency: the system is built around managing risk. While it's very rare that we'll have a month with a negative return, it's also rare that we have any months with very large gains. Typically, we'll see between 2% and 4% gains in any given calendar month, usually topping out at around 5%.

Well, February set all kinds of records over here at PickLogic. In all our years of managing our clients' money, both privately and - more recently - on the Web, we hadn't had a month as beneficial as the recently-completed 2nd month of the 2009.

February saw an impressive 6.57% gain.

We've had months in which our win-loss record was better than 11-5 (which is certainly nothing to scoff at), but the key was that we didn't have a single two-game losing streak. Every loss was followed by at least one win (and if you follow the results closely, you'll know that the profit margins are highest when we avoid losing streaks; in other words, going "1-0" or "1-1" returns a higher yield than does a "1-2" streak).

At any rate, we also had a banner month for adding new PickLogic subscribers, so we want to thank everyone who joined in the month of February. Not that we want to scare you off, but please don't expect 6%+ gains every month! Based on our past consistent history, March should be closer to the 3%-or-so number with which we've all become quite comfortable.

But +17.3% for the NBA season and +9.6% in 2009 are pretty good!

2009 Good So Far for PickLogic (The Whole NBA Season, Really)

2009-02-10T23:23:00.000-08:00

We're 40 days into the calendar year, and it's time for the first PickLogic post of 2009. It's been an excellent NBA season so far; the results speak for themselves:

November: +2.75% (6-6 win-loss record)
December: +4.94% (10-6)
January: +3.02% (7-10)
February: +3.31% (5-2, so far)

As usual, we've experienced very consistent growth, regardless of our win-loss record (which speaks to the risk management of the PickLogic system). Which means it's probably time to point out how PickLogic works for gamblers and non-gamblers.

-- If you're a gambler, these results are insignificant. What gambler wants to put $10,000 into a sportsbook account, and see it grow to $10,300 after a month? Sounds pretty boring if you're looking for any type of excitement.

-- If you're an investor, these results are fantastic. Any investor would take a 3%+ month-over-month increase; we're on pace for a 30%+ yearly return. In this market, that's about as good as it gets. (Not to mention the fact that there hasn't been a moment in the last 4 months in which our clients' portfolios were even as much as 10% at-risk - in other words, there was never a chance that more than 10% of our clients' portfolios would be lost.)

So for the NBA season, we're up a shade over 14%, and we're +6.33% for 2009 so far.

(And yes, there are sportsbooks who are starting to refuse our clients if they're following PickLogic to the letter - we take this as a compliment!)

Feel free to write a note to support@picklogic.com, or call us at 888-808-PICK if you'd like to talk to a live person!

A Nice Finish to 2008 for PickLogic

2008-12-30T21:50:00.001-08:00

PickLogic has made its last selection for 2008 (a win on the 30th as the Clippers-Kings game went UNDER the total of 191), and we wrap up the final two months of the year with up a healthy 7.69% -- +2.75% for November and +4.94% for December

Our win-loss record for the two months combined was 16-12 (6-6 and 10-6, respectively), but our focus is on the +7.69%: if you followed our money management recommendations, someone who was managing a "$10,000 account" (as we display on our general results page) had the following statistics:

Actual money at risk, maximum: $847 (meaning that even if you had $10,000 in a sportsbook account, no more than $847 was ever at risk)

Net profit: $769

Effective net gain: $769/$847 = +90.8%

Now, we're not in any way advocating that PickLogic is going to return a 90%+ gain in two months. We highly recommend that if you're managing a $10,000 account, you actually have the majority of that money "in play" (deposited in a sportsbook), even if you're likely not going to need to touch it. The goal of PickLogic is to manage your risk to appropriate levels, keeping all wagers at a small % of the overall account.

But the numbers are impressive, nonetheless. And hopefully, not unusual -- we expect similar results for the rest of the NBA season (roughly 2-4% monthly gains).

So our last pick has been made for 2008; the first selection for next year will likely be on the 2nd or 3rd of January. Have a safe and happy New Year!

Continued Solid Results for PickLogic

2008-12-22T22:20:00.000-08:00

December has been a very good month, pick-wise, for PickLogic. Our win-loss record is 8-4, which is nice...of course, more importantly, our clients are up over 4% for the month.

The system is working quite nicely; most of the 8 wins this month have been very easy/comfortable wins, while the last two losses have come by just 1/2 point and 2 points, respectively.

At any rate, we thought we'd post a blog entry just because there was an interesting anomoly this evening, and we'll see if it becomes a trend: PickLogic couldn't identify a single pick (or even a close one) for Tuesday's slate of games, despite the fact that there are 12 games on the board. What's interesting is that in 11 of the 12 games, the Over/Under number is almost exactly what you'd expect it to be (if you took the average scores of the teams involved)...in other words, the oddsmakers may have gotten a bit lazy for Tuesday...maybe they're taking an early holiday break. (Trust us, this doesn't happen very often - the lines are usually all over the place, and PickLogic picks the one(s) most likely to be off by a number of points.)

So there's no pick for Tuesday; we may or may not have a pick for Wednesday, and then there definitely won't be a selection Christmas day.

We hope you and yours have a great holiday season!

PickLogic Progress Report: 1 Month In

2008-12-13T20:06:00.000-08:00

Well, it's now been just over a month since PickLogic made its first NBA pick of the 2008-2009 season. After a rough start (1-5 over the first six selections, with 3 losses followed by a win, and then 2 more losses), it's been smooth sailing since.

We've gone 11-3 over the past 14 selections, with 2 four-game winning streaks thrown in (including the one we're currently experiencing). Our overall 12-8 record has translated into some very nice profits for our clients: we're up nearly 6.2% in just over a month's time.

For those of you who have $10,000 accounts, that's a tidy $620 profit -- not bad for an investment, especially in these uncertain times (and for those with higher accounts, well, it probably seems like Christmas has come a little early!).

Now, do we expect to make selections at a 60% clip all year? Not necessarily. PickLogic isn't designed to win much more than half of its games: the main focus is on avoiding long losing streaks. Assuming we can continue to do that, our clients can expect to continue to see their portfolios rise throughout the year.

As many of you have been doing lately, feel free to ask questions by sending an e-mail to support@picklogic.com!

PickLogic Up 2.75% in November

2008-11-30T21:07:00.000-08:00

With a 6-6 record for the NBA basketball season thus far (including a sluggish 0-3 start), PickLogic returned a 2.75% increase to its clients for the month of November.

It was a short month -- we didn't make our first pick until the 12th -- but we expect that the month was very typical: a record at or around .500, a positive return in the 2-4% range, and no losing streak of more than a few games.

This is a good time to recommend PickLogic to your friends (or try it out for free for a month, if you're not already a member): in an effort to spread PickLogic to the masses, we've recently lowered our monthly rates to just $19/month (and even cheaper, if you sign on for a longer time).

Plus, if you sign up in the month of December, we'll add an extra month to your subscription.

Feel free to e-mail support@picklogic.com with any questions!

PickLogic.com Starts Making Picks for the 2008-09 NBA Season!

2008-11-12T00:24:00.001-08:00

Hello, PickLogic subscribers and followers!

Time to start posting on the PickLogic corporate blog, as we start making picks on PickLogic.com for the 2008-2009 NBA season. If you're already a member, thanks for your patronage.

If you're NOT a member yet, we invite you to sign up for a no-strings-attached absolutely FREE trial membership: you'll get to see all of the PickLogic picks for an entire month. At the end of your month, you can either choose to become a paid subscriber, or your membership will be canceled for you; there's no obligation either way. We just believe that you can only see the value by experiencing the picks on a daily basis. (Just go to the site and click on "Free Trial".)

Keep checking the Blog, where we'll post throughout the season about how PickLogic works (and about the picks that are being made). We think it'll be very insightful for you to hear from those of us that are administering PickLogic -- we're really just following the system, just like you.

Our employees all have PickLogic accounts, and do the same things that our clients do. We want to remind everyone that our winning percentage -- while not completely irrelevant -- only tells a small part of the story. We'll talk more about that as we post more.

The PickLogic Team